Good Nba Bets
A packed Wednesday night in the NBA that should have been even more packed. There are ten games on tap tonight, along with three games that have recently been postponed. In a non-Covid world where it wasn’t storming snow in Texas, we would have had 26 of the league’s 30 teams in action. We’ll just have to make do with 20 teams taking the floor. I think we’ll survive. Remember to get those fantasy lineups set early as the Knicks and Magic kick things off tonight at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Betting on totals is a great alternative to spread betting and moneyline bets in a game like basketball that is particularly devised to run up the scoreboard in today’s games.
But don’t stop your fantasy fix there. Also, check out FanDuelto put a team together for tonight’s hoops action. We’re coming off a rough night but have been hot lately with a fantastic weekend and now sit 29-16 over the past few months. After back-to-back undefeated nights over the weekend, let’s get back to perfection on a jam-packed Wednesday night. As always, we stand behind our predictions, but take a look to see if any other players jump out at you by using the SportsGrid Player Prop Tool. Ensure you always check back throughout the day, as odds and projections may change with news and starting rotations. As always, our good friends at the FanDuel Sportsbook bring you all the latest and greatest odds.
Indiana Pacers Domantas Sabonis vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
The Bet: Over 35.5 Points (-113)
Despite the Pacers’ recent struggles, Domantas Sabonis continues to have an unbelievable season. The Pacers big man leads the team with 11.4 rebounds and is just a fraction off the top spot scoring 21 a night. He’s been an absolute double-double machine breaking the Pacers franchise record for consecutive double-doubles. Sabonis only trails Nikola Jokic with 22 on the season.
- Teams we gotta start liking when they get points. I think Rockets 🚀 Kings 👑 along with the Knicks ( minus Sunday performance) as teams you should take if their getting points. 3-0 today coulda been four but Nuggets vs Pistons got waxed. Tomorrow’s games look tuff- who do you like for tomorrow.
- Betting action comes in very heavy on Boston, and the book responds by swinging the line on all the way up to a (-10) favorite. The middling opportunity here is if you bet Atlanta (+10). No matter what, you will win one of your bets. But if Boston wins by 6, 7, 8, or 9 points, both tickets get paid.
- Check out top leader's picks. More Consensus Picks.
- What is an NBA Best Bet. Our expert NBA handicappers analyze, preview, and predict each of the 2,460 games during the NBA season, and our NBA best bets highlight those top plays on today’s NBA action. Our NBA experts analyze statistics, team news, form, trends, and more for each game of the NBA regular season and playoffs, but you must be selective in your wagering to see long term success.
The son of Arvydas is coming off a big game against Chicago on Monday night when he put up 25 points and ten boards. Sabonis got to the line 14 times, where he converted 11 of his free-throws and added four blocks. He does a lot of damage inside and getting to the line, so Minnesota is a fantastic matchup for him.
The Timberwolves allow the third-most points in the paint per game, giving up 51.2 a game inside the key. They are really pretty bad all around on the defensive end giving up the fifth-most points in the NBA at a 115 per game clip and have the fifth-worst opposing field goal percentage. The Wolves send a ton of points to the line as well, giving up the fourth most free throws in the NBA.
Minny also struggles to contain good rebounders, which Sabonis is, sitting seventh in the league in that category. The Wolves are giving up almost 47 boards a game, sixth-worst in the NBA. They are also giving up the ninth-most offensive rebounds, which means more second chances for Sabonis.
Indiana is a -5 point road favorite at FanDuel’s Sportsbook, with the Moneyline sitting at -178, and while high, the Pacers are a good bet to right the ship tonight in Minnesota. The total sits in the middle of the road at 224, where most of those points should come from Indiana.
Golden State Warriors Andrew Wiggins vs. Miami Heat
The Bet: Under 18.5 Points (-120)
Andrew Wiggins hasn’t exactly been tearing up the scoresheet of late. The former Timberwolves swingman has scored more than 18 just once in his past five, twice in his past eight, and three times in his past ten games. Wiggins is averaging only 15 a game over his past five despite playing a lot of minutes. He’s had his looks but is shooting a terrible field goal percentage lately. Wiggins has gone under 40 percent from the floor in five of his past eight, with games as low as a 33 percent shooting night against the Spurs last week. Many of his sub-par games have come against sub-par defenses. Miami is not a sub-par defense.
The Heat is giving up just 110 points per game, the seventh-lowest in the NBA. Miami also boasts the fifth-best field goal percentage against, holding opponents to just a 44.9 rate from the floor. Forget about trying to score on Jimmy Butler, who will surely be guarding Wiggins, and Bam Adebayo in the paint as well. The Heat allows a league-low 39.9 points per game in the paint and really keeps it out of the key well. Much of Wiggins’ points come from two-point range where Miami is ranked eighth in the league in holding down opponents’ two-point FG percentage.
Miami is a feisty +1 point junkyard road dog with a -102 Moneyline that looks very appetizing. The total at FanDuel’s Sportsbook is at 222, so there shouldn’t be a ton of scoring with Miami locking down Wiggins and the Warriors.
The ultimate resource to help you find the best bets each and every day in the NBA.
This page is divided into 3 simple sections.
The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including NBA. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.
The second section lists one or two of our complimentary NBA matchup reports. We write these daily for every single NBA game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day.
The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in NBA.
NBA Best Bets Tonight [Updated daily]
TODAY'S TOP PLAYS
VERNON CROY is one of the top college basketball experts this season with more than +5,100 in profits and he is coming off a 6-Unit win Saturday and 7-Unit win Sunday. Croy has a 7-Unit College Basketball Total Play (8 p.m.) Tuesday and is 30-19 with plays rated 5.0+ this season. Click BUY NOW below.
TONY GEORGE has cashed five college hoops plays rated 5.0+ in a row and is an outstanding 21-10 +5,840 on his top picks this season. George is going with a 7-Unit College Basketball First Half Play (7 p.m.) and he is looking for another win. George is on a solid 53-28 run for +8,870 and you can get this one by clicking BUY NOW below.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS is releasing an 8-Unit College Basketball Game of the Year Tuesday (9 p.m.) from the conference tournaments after back-to-back 6-Unit winners over the weekend. SPS sees a huge College Basketball postseason ahead and you can get tonight’s 8-Unit play for just $30 below by clicking BUY NOW below!
ALAN HARRIS has cashed three straight and five of seven nights on the college hoops hardwood, including a Game of the Year win on Saturday. Harris has a 7-Unit College Basketball Total (9 p.m.) as he looks to get the money for the fourth night in a row. Click BUY NOW below and jump on board.
JASON SHARPE is off to a personal-best start to this hockey season and is up over +5,000 already. He's back on Tuesday with a 7-Unit NHL Play and he has gone 7-3 on his 7-Unit picks on the ice. Sharpe has gone 15-6 on his last 21 plays rated 5.0+ across all sports and you can get this one by clicking BUY NOW below. (ARUN SHIVA and SCOTT SPREITZER have a 7-Unit Play on the same side.)
RAPHAEL ESPARZA continues to be on an epic soccer run and has gone 14-3, +4,525 and his last 17 picks. Esparza has banked +12,750 over his last 150 picks and has a 6-Unit Soccer Play (3 p.m.) from the Champions League tonight. Click BUY NOW below and don’t miss out.
ALAN HARRIS has gone an impressive 10-3 (+2,795) in his last 13 soccer plays and is on a +8,075 soccer run that goes back into the 2020 season. He’ll look to add to those numbers with an 8-Unit Soccer Game of the Year (1 p.m.) Tuesday and he sees a load of value in this one. Click BUY NOW below and get on it.
DOC’S SPORTS SOCCER is heating up at the right time and is looking for a big day on the pitch on Tuesday as he's releasing a 7-Unit Soccer Play (3 p.m.). Doc has won four of his last six selections for +915 and believes this play is a hidden gem. Click BUY NOW below.
Existing members log in to buy now or if you are new set up a free account.
Complimentary NBA games today [Updated daily]
Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/9/2021
The Washington Wizards are set to take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. Washington opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 236.5. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/9/2021
The San Antonio Spurs are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. San Antonio opens this contest as 5.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 220.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game. Read More >>
What Makes a Best Bet in NBA?
Here you will find a list of tips from our NBA experts that will help you understand what makes up a NBA best bet and what you should be looking for in order to spot one on your own.
DOC'S SPORTS – At Doc's Sports we consider the NBA Playoffs our specialty, and in the NBA Finals in particular we have had some incredible results lately. In the 2016 and 2017 NBA Finals we have earned nearly $5500 in profit combined for $100 bettors with a 9-2 result for 7-Unit plays during this span. For any playoff series we envision how we think the entire series will play out from game to game and then when the oddsmakers' lines differ from our vision then we attack with a large play. The bookies set their lines with the general betting public in mind and we find there are often weak lines in the NBA Finals since more dumb money is in the mix compared to a regular-season game. Sometimes a playoff series deviates from what we expect and at that point it is time to look again at the series as a whole and recalibrate your prediction for the series. It's a lot of work, but the results speak for themselves.
ROBERT FERRINGO – I always say: gambling isn't magic, it's mathematics. And if you look close enough and follow the numbers close enough the best bet situations will always present themselves. There are always motivational and situational factors to consider, particularly involving scheduling. But what takes a play from good to great is when you catch a team just begging for a statistical regression because of either exceptionally poor or exceptional outstanding shooting. Align that regression with other factors and voila, you have a big bet. An example was one of our first 7-Unit NBA Plays last year on Boston on Nov. 11. They had lost three straight games prior to taking on the Knicks. And despite being a Top 12 defensive team they had allowed their three previous opponents to shoot around 50 percent from the field and around 48 percent from 3-point range. In the meantime Boston, which was one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, was coming off a game in which they were held to just 93 points. Facing a rival, at home, looking to snap a losing streak, and due for both good offensive and defensive showings, the Celtics destroyed the Knicks 115-87 against a 5.5-point spread. That's how it's done.
INDIAN COWBOY – We have had some great success in the NBA, posting four straight winning years. One of the main things I look for are teams that recently faced each other and the line the second time they face each other. For example, last year the Warriors were -17 favorites over the Lakers and Golden State sent a clear message with a 149-106 blowout. Then two days later the Lakers and Warriors hooked up again, this time in Los Angeles, and we took the 'under'. Why? We took it because we knew that former Warriors Coach Luke Walton would undoubtedly make the necessary adjustments, appeal to the pride of his players, and make them play harder on the defensive end after giving up nearly 150 points in their previous game. See, most people think just because a game ended a certain way, it is going to be exactly that way or similar the next time around and that is not the case. Though we are big on revenge, sometimes there is an indirect revenge. In this case, the indirect revenge was the underdog play better, but the way they play better is to get better on what they were grotesquely bad at last time which was defense. The final score on November 25th was 109-85 and the Warriors won - and the game went well 'Under' the 230 which we took for a nice 3-Unit winner. Hence, when you are watching the NBA this year, look for teams that play each other again within a short span of time as it has the elements of the opposite pace it had in the first contest.
RAPHAEL ESPARZA – Betting the NBA in recent years has been weird because of the big swing in conference dominance. The public will always bet the top 3-5 teams but getting value on the not so entertaining teams like the Utah Jazz, Memphis Grizzlies, Atlanta Hawks, etc. is were you can get some value. With rules changing this year some of my stats and trends are out the window. But, again, handicapping NBA non-elite teams this year could be what makes another profitable year and even bigger for my best bets. Also look for tons of NBA teams playing at a higher pace because of how their rosters are setup and we could see tons of points scored this year in the NBA. I am a guy that loves betting totals so this could be a huge NBA season.
STRIKE POINT SPORTS – In the NBA bettors are constantly looking for an edge. It isn't the easiest sport due to players resting and the dreaded back-to-backs, or even worse, back-to-back-to-backs. Players are asked to play a lot of minutes each night and due to this teams decide to rest players and don't make it public until after gamblers have already done their research on the lines. Fear not, my friends, as there are some opportunities to take advantage of during the dog days of the NBA schedule. One such opportunity is when a teams best player doesn't play. This DNP could be due to an injury or because of rest. Many times oddsmakers will adjust a line in order to sway the public in this situation. It is important to not always just fade the team that isn't with their best player. In this spot the 'short-handed' team has value as players that aren't often given a shot to make a statement do so. A teams best player controls the basketball and a lot of times they take possessions away from other capable players. An NBA player gets time because he is good enough to make a difference. We used to love taking the Lakers when Kobe didn't play. Now, don't get us wrong, Kobe is an all-time great. But when he didn't play his teammates did their best to shine. They didn't always win, but they were always scrappy and would have plenty of value.
ALLEN EASTMAN – I think that one of the most important tips I can give to NBA bettors is to always be aware of the trends. I am a big trend player. And not just the trends that go back for one or two years. I like trends that go back five, 10 or even 12 years. There are some teams that don't play well in certain cities. Places like Utah and Portland can be horrible for opposing teams and some guys just never play well there. The more history you have the better the trend and then the stronger the play. .
JASON SHARPE – For me an NBA best bet usually involves finding a team that's going through some recent lineup changes due to injuries, trades or any other reason. For instance, if a player that is a starter gets hurt for a team and he's more of an offensive type player and he is replaced by more of a 'defensive-first' type player than I will tend to look towards betting an 'under' on this team, especially if a few other things come into play. And if more than one new player enters into the rotation that usually means I'm looking to strongly back something. The bottom line is the NBA betting market, like most professional sports leagues, is controlled by what I call 'the computer algorithm handicappers'. These guys will usually key in all the information on EACH team into their computers so each team has a game pace rating, a final score and offensive/defensive rating per possession to name a few stats that they all look at. My thinking is that these past stats for each team were accomplished when certain player(s) were on the floor and now if that team has a few different changes to who's representing them than we should expect some much different type results. The best time of the season to take advantage of these 'best bets' is usually at the beginning of the season involving a team that is using a few new players from the previous season and then again around the NBA trade deadline. Teams will quickly change the way they look and play when they have a different cast of characters on the floor. It's during this time of the season that you will see a lot of change and change is what we are looking for to get us one step ahead of the computer guys.
ALAN HARRIS – My main advice when looking for a top NBA play is do not overreact to injuries. Other than a quarterback in the NFL, a star player in the NBA has the biggest impact on a point spread. In the NBA, if LeBron James or Kevin Durant is announced out, both sharps and squares alike will run to the window with the thought that 'there's no way that team X can win without player Y.' Now, the Cavs or Warriors won't be as good long-term without those guys. But for that one game it's really not that big of a deal. The immediate thought is that the team is losing a bunch of points or rebounds but people don't take into account that yes, the backups are putting up less per game in those categories, but they are also doing it in less minutes. Also, starters will usually step up in a game where it's announced that one of the big guns will be out. We worked this strategy to perfection last season in a game between the Raptors and the Pacers. Kyle Lowry was hurt, listed as questionable, and there was a thought that he might come back that night. The overnight line opened up at the Raptors (-7) and it was announced early that Lowry wouldn't be playing. The line immediately dropped to -5 and that's where we jumped on it. What happened? DeMar DeRozan dropped 40, three other starters scored in double digits, and Delon Wright, who got some run due to the injury, chipped in with 11-2-6. Toronto wound up winning 111-100 and we wound up cashing a nice ticket on the Raptors.
Good Nba Bets Today
VERNON CROY – When it comes to making a big play in the NBA, I look for motivation by a certain team and I also look for situational trends. How tired is the team I'm going against; did they just play three games in four nights or are they coming off a close loss against a division rival? Is the team I'm taking playing with extra rest and what is their motivation level for this game, as we have all seen teams take nights off in the NBA? I also look at the injury reports and study stats from when these teams have played in the past. Normally when there is a key player injured the books over adjust the lines leaving lots of value for taking the team with the injury, as they will pick up their game to make up for the loss of their star player. Is there a revenge factor or does a certain team play another team harder than others, or is this a letdown spot? These are just some of the several factors that go into making a big play in the NBA for me, and after 18-years I'm still adjusting my systems and analytics to be the best I can possibly be to give my clients an significant edge over the books.
TONY GEORGE – An NBA Handicapping tip I use involves scheduling and more specifically East and West Coast road swings. I like to fade teams, especially good teams towards the end of a long road trip when they are laying points. As an example, say the Cavs are playing their fifth road game in six or seven days on the West Coast. And after playing the Suns, Lakers, Clippers and Jazz, now they have lowly Sacramento. When this scenario occurs, a good team will generally be laying six or more points to their weak opponent. I like to fade them and take the points. Road weary teams play little defense down the stretch and do what they have to do to just win a game many times.
DOUG UPSTONE - The methodology I use is by starting to create a spread based on three power ratings I use. They all have various components, designed to cover different aspects of the teams in a particular contest. Next, is the statistical advantages one team might have over another, particularly at quarterback, running the ball, stopping the run and rushing the opposing quarterback. If those show up as more one-way edges and match my power rankings, I move to the next step. That would be finding systems I have developed and look to find more evidence of a special play, and specifically I'm after ones that have a 75 percent or higher cover rate and with a minimum of 30 game outcomes and the scoring average rather easily covers the spread. Up next is reviewing situational aspects, that are team specific, which often can be nuggets of extremely useful information. The cherry on the top of the cake is looking at line movement or the lack of it in the first part of the week. If the power ratings are strong, the stats are in my favor, a system or two light up, and the situation is nicely favorable on the NFL contest that is not on everyone's radar to start a week, that is what I'm looking for in a big play!
Existing members log in or if you are new set up a free account.
If you are the do-it-yourselfer type check out our free NBA picks, tips and predictions updated daily.
Daily Best Bets Menu
Best Bets Today
NFL Best Bets
College Football Best Bets
NBA Best Bets
College Basketball Best Bets
MLB Best Bets
NHL Best Bets
Daily Free Picks Menu
Videos
NFL Picks
College Football Picks
NBA Picks
College Basketball Picks
MLB Picks
NHL Picks
UFC Picks
Golf Picks
NASCAR Picks
WNBA Picks
Soccer Picks
CFL Picks
Tennis Picks
Free Email Picks
All Free Sports Picks